ACTL3142 Statistical Machine Learning for Risk and Actuarial Applications

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ACTL3142 Statistical Machine Learning for Risk and Actuarial Applications 


Course Details & Outcomes

Course Description

This course covers the actuarial professional syllabus for data analysis including techniques for mortality, health, and insurance data used in actuarial analysis and decision-making. The course covers aspects of data analysis including exploratory data analysis, data checking and cleaning, and data visualization; classification and prediction with regression and generalized linear models; descriptive, inferential and predictive analysis and models; and statistical and machine learning including supervised and unsupervised learning. The course also covers ethical, regulatory and professional issues, and risks and risk management associated with using data and data analysis. A particular focus will be placed on communication of technical results for business applications.

Course Aims

The aim of this course is to provide students with understanding and ability to handle actuarial data in order to solve actuarial problems.

Relationship to Other Courses

The aims of this course are to provide students with an understanding of the main techniques on predictive analytics / data analytics techniques of particular relevance to actuarial work, including

  • Regression techniques and classification methods
  • Model selection and validation methods including cross validation and dimension reduction
  • Linear and Non-linear models
  • Decision Trees and extensions
  • Supervised and unsupervised learning techniques

Students are assumed to have a good mathematics background and a solid understanding of the concepts of probability and statistics, and actuarial modelling.

Students need to be able to use a word processing package (such as Word) and a spreadsheet (such as Excel). They should also be able to use the statistical software package R which will be used to implement many of the models discussed in this course, and in particular in the lab classes.

Course Learning Outcomes

Course Learning Outcomes Program learning outcomes
CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO2 : Problem Solving
CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. 
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO2 : Problem Solving
CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. 
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO2 : Problem Solving
CLO4 : Understand and explain ethical and regulatory issues associated with the use of data and analytic techniques. 
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO5 : Responsible Business Practice
CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. 
  • PLO3 : Business Communication


Course Learning Outcomes Assessment Item
CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
  • Formative Assessment
  • Assignment
  • Final exam
CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. 
  • Formative Assessment
  • Assignment
  • Final exam
CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. 
  • Formative Assessment
  • Assignment
  • Final exam
CLO4 : Understand and explain ethical and regulatory issues associated with the use of data and analytic techniques. 
  • Assignment
CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. 
  • Formative Assessment
  • Final exam
  • Assignment

Learning and Teaching Technologies

Moodle - Learning Management System | Zoom | EdStem | Echo 360

Learning and Teaching in this course

This course consists of:

- Self-study course material available on the course Moodle website (e.g. textbook chapters, video lectures, lecture notes, exercises),

- Weekly lectures,

- Weekly labs, and

- Weekly consultation times.

Additional Course Information

This course covers the Regression theory and applications part of the subject 'CS1 – Actuarial Statistics 1' and the Machine learning part of 'CS2 – Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis Core Principles' of the Institute of Actuaries.

Assessments

Assessment Structure

Assessment Item Weight Relevant Dates Program learning outcomes
Formative Assessment
Assessment FormatIndividual
10%
Start DateWeek 1
Due DateThroughout term, see Moodle for details
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO2 : Problem Solving
  • PLO3 : Business Communication
  • PLO5 : Responsible Business Practice
Assignment
Assessment FormatIndividual
30%
Start DateWeek 2
Due DateWeek 5 and 9
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO2 : Problem Solving
  • PLO3 : Business Communication
  • PLO5 : Responsible Business Practice
Final exam
Assessment FormatIndividual
60%
Start DateNot Applicable
Due DateNot Applicable
  • PLO1 : Business Knowledge
  • PLO2 : Problem Solving
  • PLO5 : Responsible Business Practice

Assessment Details

  • Formative Assessment
    Assessment Overview

    These are aimed at encouraging students to keep up with the course materials.

    Course Learning Outcomes
    • CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
    • CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. 
    • CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. 
    • CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. 
    Detailed Assessment Description

    The course offers formative activities to practice the concepts you have learned each week and aim at encouraging students to keep up with the course materials. These activities will reinforce your learning and help you identify the areas you need to focus on.

    Submission notes

    On Moodle

    Assignment submission Turnitin type

    Not Applicable

  • Assignment
    Assessment Overview

    An assignment task involving application of course concepts.

    Course Learning Outcomes
    • CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
    • CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. 
    • CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. 
    • CLO4 : Understand and explain ethical and regulatory issues associated with the use of data and analytic techniques. 
    • CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. 
    Detailed Assessment Description

    There will be a major assignment task involving application of course concepts to data analysis and practical risk management decision-making. It will also assess critical analysis and problem solving skills as well as written communication skills, and correspond to course learning outcomes, and program learning goals.

    Submission notes

    See Moodle for details

    Assignment submission Turnitin type

    This assignment is submitted through Turnitin and students do not see Turnitin similarity reports.

  • Final exam
    Assessment Overview

    The examination will aim to assess the achievement of the learning course outcomes.

    Course Learning Outcomes
    • CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
    • CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. 
    • CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. 
    • CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. 
    Detailed Assessment Description

    The examination will aim to assess the achievement of the learning outcomes of the course including the course aims.

    Submission notes

    Inspera invigilated exam

    Assignment submission Turnitin type

    Not Applicable

General Assessment Information

As a student at UNSW you are expected to display academic integrity in your work and interactions. Where a student breaches the UNSW Student Code with respect to academic integrity, the University may take disciplinary action under the Student Misconduct Procedure. To assure academic integrity, you may be required to demonstrate reasoning, research and the process of constructing work submitted for assessment.

To assist you in understanding what academic integrity means, and how to ensure that you do comply with the UNSW Student Code, it is strongly recommended that you complete the Working with Academic Integrity module before submitting your first assessment task. It is a free, online self-paced Moodle module that should take about one hour to complete.

Grading Basis

Standard

Requirements to pass course

In order to pass this course students must:

  • Achieve a composite mark of at least 50 out of 100
  • Engage actively in course learning activities and attempt all assessment requirements
  • Meet any additional requirements specified in the assessment details
  • Meet the specified attendance requirements of the course

Course Schedule

Teaching Week/Module Activity Type Content
Week 1 : 27 May - 2 June Lecture

Course Overview, Basics of Statistical Learning

Week 2 : 3 June - 9 June Lecture

Linear Regression Techniques: Part 1

Week 3 : 10 June - 16 June Lecture

Linear Regression Techniques: Part 2

 

Public holiday on 10 June, content will be paced accordingly.

Week 4 : 17 June - 23 June Lecture

Logistic Regression and Introduction to Generalised Linear Models

Week 5 : 24 June - 30 June Lecture

Generalised Linear Models

Week 6 : 1 July - 7 July Homework

Flexibility Week - No Classes

Week 7 : 8 July - 14 July Lecture

Machine Learning Ideas (Cross-Validation and Regularisation)

Week 8 : 15 July - 21 July Lecture

Moving Beyond Linearity

Week 9 : 22 July - 28 July Lecture

Tree-Based Methods

Week 10 : 29 July - 4 August Lecture

Unsupervised Learning

Attendance Requirements

Students are strongly encouraged to attend all classes and review lecture recordings.

Course Resources

Prescribed Resources

Course website

The website for this course is on Moodle.

The course will use various digital resources, but they all will be linked from Moodle.

To access the Moodle online support site for students, follow the links from that website to UNSW Moodle Support/Support for Students. Additional technical support can be obtained from [email protected] (02 9385 1333).

All course contents will be available from the course website. It is essential that you visit the site regularly to see any notices posted there by the course coordinator, as it will be assumed that they are known to you within a reasonable time.

Textbooks

There are many books of relevance to the course topics. The following book will be the main text references for a substantial part of the course:

  • James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., An Introduction to Statistical Learning with Applications in R, Second Edition, Springer, 2021

Additional readings from the professional actuarial literature will also be used to provided additional context, details, and examples. This will be communicated in the course website.

The Actuaries Institute

The Actuaries Institute allows students to become University Subscribers free of charge. Full time undergraduates studying at an Institute accredited university who are members of a university student actuarial society are eligible. To sign up.

Course Evaluation and Development

Feedback is regularly sought from students and continual improvements are made based on this feedback. At the end of this course, you will be asked to complete the myExperience survey, which provides a key source of student evaluative feedback. Your input into this quality enhancement process is extremely valuable in assisting us to meet the needs of our students and provide an effective and enriching learning experience. The results of all surveys are carefully considered and do lead to action towards enhancing educational quality.


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