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ACTL3142 Statistical Machine Learning for Risk and Actuarial Applications
Course Details & Outcomes
Course Description
This course covers the actuarial professional syllabus for data analysis including techniques for mortality, health, and insurance data used in actuarial analysis and decision-making. The course covers aspects of data analysis including exploratory data analysis, data checking and cleaning, and data visualization; classification and prediction with regression and generalized linear models; descriptive, inferential and predictive analysis and models; and statistical and machine learning including supervised and unsupervised learning. The course also covers ethical, regulatory and professional issues, and risks and risk management associated with using data and data analysis. A particular focus will be placed on communication of technical results for business applications.
Course Aims
The aim of this course is to provide students with understanding and ability to handle actuarial data in order to solve actuarial problems.
Relationship to Other Courses
The aims of this course are to provide students with an understanding of the main techniques on predictive analytics / data analytics techniques of particular relevance to actuarial work, including
- Regression techniques and classification methods
- Model selection and validation methods including cross validation and dimension reduction
- Linear and Non-linear models
- Decision Trees and extensions
- Supervised and unsupervised learning techniques
Students are assumed to have a good mathematics background and a solid understanding of the concepts of probability and statistics, and actuarial modelling.
Students need to be able to use a word processing package (such as Word) and a spreadsheet (such as Excel). They should also be able to use the statistical software package R which will be used to implement many of the models discussed in this course, and in particular in the lab classes.
Course Learning Outcomes
| Course Learning Outcomes | Program learning outcomes |
|---|---|
| CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims. |
|
| CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. |
|
| CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. |
|
| CLO4 : Understand and explain ethical and regulatory issues associated with the use of data and analytic techniques. |
|
| CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. |
|
| Course Learning Outcomes | Assessment Item |
|---|---|
| CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims. |
|
| CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings. |
|
| CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications. |
|
| CLO4 : Understand and explain ethical and regulatory issues associated with the use of data and analytic techniques. |
|
| CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management. |
|
Learning and Teaching Technologies
Moodle - Learning Management System | Zoom | EdStem | Echo 360
Learning and Teaching in this course
This course consists of:
- Self-study course material available on the course Moodle website (e.g. textbook chapters, video lectures, lecture notes, exercises),
- Weekly lectures,
- Weekly labs, and
- Weekly consultation times.
Additional Course Information
This course covers the Regression theory and applications part of the subject 'CS1 – Actuarial Statistics 1' and the Machine learning part of 'CS2 – Risk Modelling and Survival Analysis Core Principles' of the Institute of Actuaries.
Assessments
Assessment Structure
| Assessment Item | Weight | Relevant Dates | Program learning outcomes |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Formative Assessment
Assessment FormatIndividual
|
10% |
Start DateWeek 1
Due DateThroughout term, see Moodle for details
|
|
|
Assignment
Assessment FormatIndividual
|
30% |
Start DateWeek 2
Due DateWeek 5 and 9
|
|
|
Final exam
Assessment FormatIndividual
|
60% |
Start DateNot Applicable
Due DateNot Applicable
|
|
Assessment Details
-
Formative Assessment
Assessment Overview
These are aimed at encouraging students to keep up with the course materials.
Course Learning Outcomes
- CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
- CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings.
- CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications.
- CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management.
Detailed Assessment Description
The course offers formative activities to practice the concepts you have learned each week and aim at encouraging students to keep up with the course materials. These activities will reinforce your learning and help you identify the areas you need to focus on.
Submission notes
On Moodle
Assignment submission Turnitin type
Not Applicable
-
Assignment
Assessment Overview
An assignment task involving application of course concepts.
Course Learning Outcomes
- CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
- CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings.
- CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications.
- CLO4 : Understand and explain ethical and regulatory issues associated with the use of data and analytic techniques.
- CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management.
Detailed Assessment Description
There will be a major assignment task involving application of course concepts to data analysis and practical risk management decision-making. It will also assess critical analysis and problem solving skills as well as written communication skills, and correspond to course learning outcomes, and program learning goals.
Submission notes
See Moodle for details
Assignment submission Turnitin type
This assignment is submitted through Turnitin and students do not see Turnitin similarity reports.
-
Final exam
Assessment Overview
The examination will aim to assess the achievement of the learning course outcomes.
Course Learning Outcomes
- CLO1 : Understand aspects of the theory and practice of predictive analytics / data analytics for insurance and financial applications as covered in the course aims.
- CLO2 : Assess models used for predictive analytics / data analytics in practice and their advantages and shortcomings.
- CLO3 : Estimate and apply various statistical learning models for practical applications.
- CLO5 : Use effective presentation, discussion and report writing skills for explaining risk-modelling concepts used in quantitative risk management.
Detailed Assessment Description
The examination will aim to assess the achievement of the learning outcomes of the course including the course aims.
Submission notes
Inspera invigilated exam
Assignment submission Turnitin type
Not Applicable
General Assessment Information
As a student at UNSW you are expected to display academic integrity in your work and interactions. Where a student breaches the UNSW Student Code with respect to academic integrity, the University may take disciplinary action under the Student Misconduct Procedure. To assure academic integrity, you may be required to demonstrate reasoning, research and the process of constructing work submitted for assessment.
To assist you in understanding what academic integrity means, and how to ensure that you do comply with the UNSW Student Code, it is strongly recommended that you complete the Working with Academic Integrity module before submitting your first assessment task. It is a free, online self-paced Moodle module that should take about one hour to complete.
Grading Basis
Standard
Requirements to pass course
In order to pass this course students must:
- Achieve a composite mark of at least 50 out of 100
- Engage actively in course learning activities and attempt all assessment requirements
- Meet any additional requirements specified in the assessment details
- Meet the specified attendance requirements of the course
Course Schedule
| Teaching Week/Module | Activity Type | Content |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 : 27 May - 2 June | Lecture |
Course Overview, Basics of Statistical Learning |
| Week 2 : 3 June - 9 June | Lecture |
Linear Regression Techniques: Part 1 |
| Week 3 : 10 June - 16 June | Lecture |
Linear Regression Techniques: Part 2
Public holiday on 10 June, content will be paced accordingly. |
| Week 4 : 17 June - 23 June | Lecture |
Logistic Regression and Introduction to Generalised Linear Models |
| Week 5 : 24 June - 30 June | Lecture |
Generalised Linear Models |
| Week 6 : 1 July - 7 July | Homework |
Flexibility Week - No Classes |
| Week 7 : 8 July - 14 July | Lecture |
Machine Learning Ideas (Cross-Validation and Regularisation) |
| Week 8 : 15 July - 21 July | Lecture |
Moving Beyond Linearity |
| Week 9 : 22 July - 28 July | Lecture |
Tree-Based Methods |
| Week 10 : 29 July - 4 August | Lecture |
Unsupervised Learning |
Attendance Requirements
Students are strongly encouraged to attend all classes and review lecture recordings.
Course Resources
Prescribed Resources
The website for this course is on Moodle.
The course will use various digital resources, but they all will be linked from Moodle.
To access the Moodle online support site for students, follow the links from that website to UNSW Moodle Support/Support for Students. Additional technical support can be obtained from [email protected] (02 9385 1333).
All course contents will be available from the course website. It is essential that you visit the site regularly to see any notices posted there by the course coordinator, as it will be assumed that they are known to you within a reasonable time.
TextbooksThere are many books of relevance to the course topics. The following book will be the main text references for a substantial part of the course:
- James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., An Introduction to Statistical Learning with Applications in R, Second Edition, Springer, 2021
Additional readings from the professional actuarial literature will also be used to provided additional context, details, and examples. This will be communicated in the course website.
The Actuaries InstituteThe Actuaries Institute allows students to become University Subscribers free of charge. Full time undergraduates studying at an Institute accredited university who are members of a university student actuarial society are eligible. To sign up.
Course Evaluation and Development
Feedback is regularly sought from students and continual improvements are made based on this feedback. At the end of this course, you will be asked to complete the myExperience survey, which provides a key source of student evaluative feedback. Your input into this quality enhancement process is extremely valuable in assisting us to meet the needs of our students and provide an effective and enriching learning experience. The results of all surveys are carefully considered and do lead to action towards enhancing educational quality.